Week four fantasy football tips
September 29, 2016
Players to start this week:
QB Drew Brees (New Orleans Saints)
Despite the loss, Saints quarterback Drew Brees had a great game in week three, throwing for 376 yards and three touchdowns. I expect him to have another great game in week four. The Saints go to San Diego on Sunday to take on the Chargers, who have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. The Bolts already had trouble stopping the passing game in the first three games, and now linebacker Manti Te’o, one of the team’s best tacklers, is out for the year. Brees will throw for more than 300 yards again.
RB Melvin Gordon (San Diego Chargers)
Running back melvin Gordon had trouble going anywhere last week against the Colts, but this will be a great turnaround week for the second-year player. The Chargers get to run against the Saints’ defense, which is even worse than San Diego’s. The New Orleans defense is giving up allowing an average of 31.7 fantasy points to running backs, which is the league’s worst. Gordon, who is now the featured back in San Diego, will get plenty of carries in week four.
RB Theo Riddick (Detroit Lions)
Detroit running back Theo Riddick had trouble finding success in the week three loss against Green Bay, but he will have a good game this week against the Bears. The Bears’ defense is horrible, allowing 199 rushing yards to the young Cowboys’ offense. Riddick was ineffective last week because of the solid Green Bay defense, but he plays a much weaker defense this week. Must start.
WR T.Y. Hilton (Indianapolis Colts)
Indianapolis receiver T.Y. Hilton had his first great game of the 2016 season last week, and his production will continue into week four. The Colts face the Jaguars, who have struggled to stop the air attack thus far. Hilton is Andrew Luck’s best target, so expect him to find the endzone at least once this Sunday in London.
Cardinals’ Defense
The Arizona Cardinals’ defense has been one of the league’s best the past few years, and that will not change this week when they face the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams offense has been possibly the worst in the NFL so far. Case Keenum has the NFL’s worst QB Rating at 25.7 and Todd Gurley cannot seem to find his groove running the ball yet. Arizona’s defense will have no trouble stopping an offense led by Case Keenum.
Players to sit this week:
QB Blake Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Despite improving significantly in 2015, Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles has struggled to play at his stature so far this season, and this will not change in week four. The Jags take on the Colts, who have been surprisingly decent at stopping the passing game this year. Bortles will try to find star wide out Allen Robinson and other targets, but his completion percentage will once again be low.
RB Lamar Miller (Houston Texans)
Although he was highly-ranked on most preseason fantasy projections, he averages a mediocre 10 fantasy points per game. While 10 points is not horrible, it certainly is not what fantasy owners are looking for. His mediocre play will continue this week when the Texans face the Titans. The 1-2 Titans often struggle on offense, but their run defense has been rather strong this year. Brian Orakpo will lead the surge the Titans’ defense needs to stop the previously explosive Lamar Miller.
RB LeSean McCoy (Buffalo Bills)
Buffalo running back LeSean McCoy had his first great game of the season last week, but I expect him to fall back to Earth this week. On Sunday, the Bills face the New England Patriots, who have one of the league’s best run defenses. The Pats’ defense will stop McCoy from accumulating many fantasy points, likely limiting him to under 10 in ESPN Standard Leagues.
WR Odell Beckham Jr. (New York Giants)
Odell Beckham Jr. is one of the best and most entertaining players in the NFL, but his fantasy points and entertainment value could go down in week four. Beckham and the Giants have to go against the brutal Minnesota defense, which has led the Vikings to a 3-0 record. They have already shut down star receivers Randall Cobb and Kelvin Benjamin. Beckham’s name will be added to the list of great wide outs who have been victimized by the Vikings’ defense.
Panthers’ Defense
The Panthers’ defense, led by star linebackers Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis, will have serious trouble in week four stopping the Falcons’ offense. Matt Ryan has been a solid fantasy quarterback this year, and the Atlanta running game, led by the duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, has been a force on the ground. Carolina’s typically stout defense will struggle this week.